River Avon in Warwick - Relatively normal for this time of year |
Given the furore over the flooding in Somerset and some of
the comments that have started to be circulated I thought it opportune to make
flooding the topic of this blog post. In the course of this blog I will no
doubt annoy people who have been flooded out, I do not mean to cause offence. I
cannot begin to understand the pain and loss of having ones property invaded in
this way and it is terrible to have to deal with the aftermath and the
destruction but, and there is always a but, this is not say that certain
factors that are now being called for
are the best approach for the future.
We have a tendency in Britain to suffer from reactionism.
Politicians tend to view things in the short term – usually 5 years terms of
office or in terms of what is popular and not what is necessarily right. This
view reinforces again my concern that uneducated politicians and bureaucrats will
do what is necessary to appease rather than review the scientific evidence and
make a rational choice.
What has caused the flooding then, for if we are to truly
stop people getting flooded out we need to understand causes before we can
formulate the defence. We can point fingers several ways, deforestation of
headwaters, flood defences protecting towns at the expense of farmland, not
enough dredging of rivers, too much building and dare I say it... it rained...
it rained a lot. January for example had 35% more rainfall than average
according to the MET Office. This combined with tidal surges and high winds and
followed a December that had 154% of average rainfall. Is it any surprise then
that some level of flooding occurred? Probably not and those affected by it
probably were prepared for some if not the scope of it.
My concern is over what happens next. There are demands for
dredging to be stepped up and that might work a little. Just dredging is a
simplistic response. The quantity of rain we have had would still have caused
flooding regardless whether the Severn or Avon had been dredged from source to
sea. What is needed is a holistic look at the whole problem. Some part of the
problem is at the big and scary climate level, this is not something you can
alter at the flick of a switch or the dig of a ditch. Dredging will easy some
flow and harm the ecology of the river to very little long term affect. More
importantly we need to be looking at the use of floodplains... the clue is in
the word. We shouldn’t be surprised when homes built on a flood plain flood.
Countryfile had an interesting article last week regarding
the reforestation of uplands to store water instead of the current sheep
farming strategy. The approach was a little draconian but there is certainly something
to be said for creating soak aways, detention basins and reforested areas. This
has the double benefit of reducing flooding and creating homes for wildlife.
I read with dismay Conservative Peers lambasting the
Environment Agency for putting wildlife above people when they discovered plans
to reinforce the train line at Dwalish prepared last year had yet to be acted
on because they were waiting on an Environmental Assessment regarding Bird life
along the coast. I can see now that in the urge to soothe people’s concerns environmental
considerations will be even more curtailed in the need for a quick fix and to
solve an ecological and hydrological solution with a political one.
I am not inspired by the fact the Lord Chris Smith is the
head of the Environment Agency, his background as a politician was in Culture,
Media and Sport and his original education is in English. I have little faith
that in future the response to these floods will be made responsibly. I expect
his head will be offered up on a platter and someone equally unsuitable will be
sought to replace him either way I see an opportunity to improve matters for all being subsumed into political point scoring of the worst kind with no side actually coming out as a winner.
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